Thursday, February 14, 2008

The Race For Calgary Egmont

Egmont. Egmont, Egmont, Egmont. When I moved to this riding just over a year ago, I had no idea that I'd be hearing its name in my sweat-soaked nightmares. And yet, here it is: The riding was formed in 1971, and has been coloured Tory Blue ever since. The Tories have never garnered less than 50% of the popular vote in this riding, and as recently as 2001 Denis Herard pulled in a popular vote of 72.7%. In 2004's "Klein-feld - the Election About Nothing", though, the riding returned Herard with only 51.8% , giving the Liberals thier usual slice of around 20%, and placing the Alberta Alliance third, with nearly 15% of the vote - their highest total in any of the province's urban ridings. The Greens also did well here, with leader George Read pulling in almost 1000 votes.

Federally the area is overwhelmingly Conservative, as part of Calgary South East, one of the safest ridings in the country for Big Blue. Jason Kenney, the popular 4-term (soon to be 5) Member of Parliament, supported Jonathan Denis in his run for the Tory nomination (as a matter of principle, Denis Herard stayed neutral in the nomination process - it's an unwritten rule for outgoing PC's).

Denis Herard, the 4-term incumbent for the PC's and former Minister of Advanced Education, is retiring.

The Candidates:
Jonathan Denis (PC)
Cathie Williams (Lib)
Jason Nishiyama (NDP)
Barry Chase (WAP)
Mark McGillvray (Grn)
Craig Chandler (Ind)

Jonathan Denis is a rarity in provincial politics - he's a candidate who's willing to go off-script, and talk about things not contained in the party's press package. Even more remarkable is the fact that Denis is a young, first-time candidate doing so, in a riding targeted by the Liberals as "winnable". A businessman, lawyer, and health-care advocate, Denis looks to continue the tradition of Denis Herard by being an MLA accessible to ALL in the riding, regardless of for whom their ballot was cast. He makes the point that there will be times when the riding does not agree with his personal views on an issue - and, importantly, realizes that in those cases, it's his job to represent the people, first and foremost. This is something more candidates and MLA's need to realize.

Seeing as how Jonathan is vying for the VOES (Vote Of Enlightened Savage) in this campaign, I've been having a dialogue with the candidate and his team, and will spend a little more time on Egmont as compared to the other ridings. 3 questions I asked that were of particular importance are below, along with Jonathan's answers.

ES: What is the greatest asset that Jonathan can bring to the table as MLA for Calgary Egmont?

As someone in his 30's with many solid accomplishments, Jonathan represents the ideal combination of an experienced and established professional who has a vision for the future of Calgary-Egmont and for Alberta.

Calgary Egmont is a microcosm of Calgary at large. Its history goes back to the original settlement of Calgary and encompasses both inner city and the orginal suburban districts of Calgary. Its potential for evolution and development is almost unmatched in the city. The planned South-East LRT line is only one example of the potential we have for becoming a beacon on inner city and suburban development. Egmont has an incredible diversity of residents, from the quintessential inner-city professional to retired seniors. We've met residents who have lived here since their neighborhood was at the edge of the city and have seen this city change from a small town to the economic metropolis that we now experience. We've met families who are raising their children in some of the most beautiful subdivisions that Calgary has ever produced. Yet they all have similar concerns. A solid economy, health care, safety for their parents and children. We can achieve all that with the PC's. We can bring Change that Works to this constituency.

As an MLA, I will work towards reducing our dependancy on personal vehicles for regular activites by encouraging and supporting Transit Oriented Development
including recreation and shopping facilities within easy walking distance of our homes and transit location. I would support the city in its plan to develop a real rapid transit solution for our residents to get to and from work, regardless of whether they work downtown or not. I would encourage the development of more riverside parks to mirror the very strong successes Calgary has had with its park and river side trail systems on the north side of the city.


ES: Egmont is a "tale of 2 ridings", with the liberal north and conservative south. How does Jonathan plan to be an MLA for ALL of Egmont, given a) the very divided nature of the riding in general, and b) the very vocal minority of conservatives who feel they have been wronged by the PC Party?

In the 2004 election, we had widespread support throughout the constituency - including in the north. This being said, we recognize that the boundaries include Ramsay (an inner-city neighbourhood) as well as more established areas such as Willow Park and newer areas like Riverbend. Jonathan is a hard worker who is willing to put the interests of the constituents first and he is prepared to work for everyone in Calgary-Egmont, regardless of their voting preference or location.

Jonathan agrees that a the PC party should establish a nomination process similar to the federal party where candidates have to be potential members for 6 months and are vetted by the party PRIOR to beginning campaigning. This being said, Jonathan has always wanted to serve this constituency and in both elections received more votes than any other winning PC nominee in Calgary.

Jonathan has been proud to run a positive and clean campaign and will continue on this track as the MLA for Calgary-Egmont.


ES: Who are Jonathan's political heroes? What about them does he hope to emulate in his public life?

Jonathan has known Jason Kenney for many years. Jason first sought office when he was 28 (much younger than Jonathan) and has earned a reputation as a hard worker and someone who is Calgary's representative in Ottawa - not the other way around. Jonathan will be the same type of representative for our city in Edmonton.

Also of note, for you Social Networking types... Jonathan's Facebook group has the most members of any PC candidate.

Cathie Williams is a former chair and trustee with the Calgary Separate (Catholic) School Board. Prior to that, she served as Chief Financial Officer for a group of companies in Edmonton. Williams made headlines last October when she pulled out of the race for re-election to her seat in the school board with only a few days left until voting day, to run for the Liberal nomination in Egmont instead.

As a former high-profile school board trustee, Williams has an advantage over many candidates, Liberal and otherwise: Name recognition. People are used to hearing her name in the news. As such, the Liberals have all-but crowned her a "star candidate", and there are whispers on the Liberal side that they hope to take the riding with about 40% of the votes cast - counting on a split on the right, and some drift from dissatisfied Tories.

Offers by this scribe to give Williams an opportunity to express herself in this space were rebuffed by her riding president, on account of the obvious bias of The Enlightened Savage.

Jason Nishiyama is a 20-year veteran of the Canadian Forces Reserve and a high school teacher for the Calgary Board of Education, currently teaching in a special setting working with youth who have addiction issues. Nishiyama has a strong business background as well, serving on the board of directors for one company (for which he was also Operations Manager), and serving as Treasurer for his condo board. Egmont is not fertile soil for the NDP, but Nishiyama is hopeful that he will be able to improve on their last-place finish in 2004.

Barry Chase captured 620 votes to finish 3rd in 2004 in the riding of Calgary Shaw. This time around Chase is running in the riding in which he grew up and attended school - when it was on the outskirts of town. Chase has a strong background in finance, and his son Travis is running for the Wildrose Alliance in Calgary Fort (Nation - would they be the first father/son combination to sit in the Legislature at the same time? A T-shirt might be on the line...). As mentioned previously, this was the strongest urban riding for the Alliance in 2004, and they're looking to build on that momentum. As "Harper Conservative" country, especially in the riding's south, there is quite a lot of policy overlap with the Wildrose Alliance, and if Chase can get his message out over the other noise coming from the right, he might have a chance to substantially improve his party's vote total... bet on 3rd place.

Mark McGillvray is the future of the Green Party in Alberta. For that matter, he's the present, too. A backbone of the party, he has found himself responsible in part or in whole for much of the party's infrastructure within the province, both on the provincial and federal levels of politics. A blogger and content director for GreenerPolitics.com, McGillvray is a perfect example of what the Greens need to do in order to get their message out to their demographic - young idealists who need to live here for the next 60 to 80 years, and would appreciate a nice, clean planet to live on. Mark has run for the Greens twice in the riding of Calgary Centre-North federally, winning 11% of the vote each time with total expenditures, in both elections COMBINED, of less than $8,000. Now THAT'S efficiency - he's spending less than a dollar per vote. In 2004, he also ran provincially for the Greens in Calgary Mountainview, placing third.

Much of the strength the Greens have shown to date in Alberta - their strongest province in Canada, shockingly - is due to Mark McGillvray. He is exactly what the Greens need to move their party forward - a political organizer who cares passionately about the environment, rather than their current make up as a party of environmentalists, who for the most part know nothing about how to organize politically. And while he may not win in Calgary Egmont, you WILL see this man pushing the Green agenda onto the provincial radar in the ensuing years, and I would not be shocked at all to see him sitting in the Legislature one day - sooner, rather than later. (Note to Mark: Don't run any further south in the city in 2012 - I'd hate to have to run against you)

Craig Chandler won the first nomination race for the PC's in Calgary Egmont, before having his nomination rejected by the party's executive as not being in the "best interests of the party". In the time since, the "stone that the builders rejected" has tried to become his own cornerstone (despite being rebuffed by the Wildrose Alliance), and he has pursued a "scorched earth" campaign against the PC's, using the considerable organizational muscle of his PGIB to attack and confound the PC's at every opportunity (this, despite his own admission that many rate-paying members of the PGIB are dedicated Tories, and are therefore essentially paying for the attacks on their own party). Most experts and pundits agree that the Chandler camp has little chance of winning the riding, but could possibly take enough votes from the PC's to let Liberal Cathie Williams come through the middle to win the seat. Seeing no difference between the PC's and the Liberals, Chandler seems to be fine with that.

A political operative of renown on the right wing of Canada's political spectrum, Chandler claims to have managed 48 campaigns, of which 40 were successful. As a candidate himself, Chandler has a much less stellar track record, having lost on both the federal and provincial level, as well as drawing boos from the assembled members of the federal Progressive Conservative Party for his vitriolic speech at their leadership convention in 2003 before withdrawing from the race for the party leadership. He was also recently rejected as a candidate for the Board of Directors on the newly-formed Wildrose Alliance. One wonders, if his organization and training is so good, why the only candidate that Craig Chandler and his people can't get elected to office is... well, Craig Chandler. Might it be his charming personality? On March 3rd, the citizens of Egmont will let us know. Look for a Jacques Parizeau-esque "women and ethnics" excuse shortly thereafter, sounding a lot more like "pc wimps and bleeding-heart transplants from back east". Never fear, though - Chandler will soldier on, snug in his opinion that he knows what we need, even if we're too stupid to figure it out yet.

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

"You Suck, Ref!"

Nation, I have watched with growing concern the tactics being used by the opposition parties and the scandal-starved media as relates to the province's Returning Officers.

The coverage by the Edmonton Sun was factually incorrect, as discussed more fully here. I expect that a retraction will be coming for the mis-attribution of Blake's comments. The CBC coverage of the Wojtaszek issue was disturbing for several reasons - also outlined in Blake's most recent post on the issue.

Now, I want to get this out of the way, right off the bat: I've met Allie Wojtaszek, and her husband Duncan. I think they're both stellar people, and I'm proud to call them friends (despite their inexplicable attachment to the perrennially under-achieving Calgary Flames). For that matter, I also know Robin Darsi of Calgary Currie, and consider HIM to be a friend. So there you have it - nothing I say on this issue is going to be relevant or unbiased - because I have chums who are affected, and can't possibly be unbiased.



Right?



Wrong.



The problem is, that's the allegation that the media and the opposition parties are making - that these returning officers with ties to the PC party can't POSSIBLY be unbiased, because they are current or former members of the PC Party.

The job of returning officer is important... it's one of the positions that has the most direct impact on how our votes are counted, which makes it an emotionally-charged issue. The merest WHISPER of something untoward going on in the counting room, and we're on our feet, screaming for blood at our possible disenfranchisement. But the way I see it, this issue is actually TWO issues, and the media can't seem to decide which one is more pressing (read: which one will sell more papers).

Issue 1: Are these people capable of performing a task which requires the utmost in discretion and unbiased judgement?

Issue 2: Are the PC's having Returning Officers appointed based on party loyalty, rather than ability?

Let's deal with these one at a time...

Issue 1: Are these people capable of performing a task which requires the utmost in discretion and unbiased judgement?

Answer: One would hope. Everyone's different - but they all take the same oath upon appointment to the position. It's very likely similar, if not identical, to the oath that *I* took when I entered the public service 4 years ago - an oath that I have never once broken, even though I blog under an assumed name. I can't be caught, and I *still* don't break the rules - because MOES (Mother Of Enlightened Savage) raised a truthful and honest person, who takes his Oath of Office VERY seriously.

The people who are hired as Returning Officers are, presumably, people of good character who are capable of putting aside their personal bias. Anyone who is politically informed has bias - we like that guy, we hate that policy... there is, I suspect, no such thing as a "politically informed person with no opinion on anything". That being said, the issue then becomes "can they put that bias aside, as they promised, to fulfill the requirements of the position?". Again, that's a character issue - I know in the case of the 2 R.O.'s that I know personally, the answer is a resounding "yes". Much is being made of the fact that in a tie (has there EVER been a tie?), the Returning Officer casts a ballot. "Not fair!", cries the opposition. "If they're Tory members, they'll vote for the Tory!". And if they're Liberal party members, they'll vote for the Liberal. No matter how they vote, you and I and every politically aware person in the province knows that riding is going to a judicial re-count, so what does it matter? If they were never appointed R.O., their vote STILL would have gone to their chosen party, and been counted. Are you going to accuse the judge overseeing the re-count of bias, as well?

Never mind - I'm afraid I already know the answer to that question.

The media are going hog wild with this story, prodded along by the "concerned and pensive" opposition parties, who "just want to make sure that everyone's vote is counted fairly"... and yet, neither Taft nor Mason is willing to say for the record that ANY wrong-doing has taken place. "It's the perception of bias that's the problem", they protest. But Taft and Mason know it doesn't matter if Robin Darsi or Rick Bell or Troy Wason or Larry Johnsrude is the returning officer - they're not going to win.

And that's WHY they're bringing this up - to save their own jobs.

Nation, the Returning Officer in each riding is essentially the electoral referee for that constituency: They apply the rules, and are expected to do so fairly. There are only 2 possible reasons to attack the credibility of a referee: FIRST, if they're doing an undeniably bad job. Like, Mick McGeough-esque (finally, something my Oilers-loving readers and my Flames-loving readers can agree on!). Taft and Mason both admit that this is not the case. SECOND, if they know they're going to lose, and they need to save face. Ron Wilson and John Tortorella come to mind. It's essentially reserving the right, after the game, to step up to the podium microphone and say "we lost the game, but those refs were lousy, they were calling things in favour of the home team all night...". Those speeches, clearly, have already been written for Taft and Mason. The fact that they and their handlers are continuing to push this issue to the forefront of the media (it's getting more attention than anyone's platforms or policy announcements) speaks volumes about their expectations for the election's eventual outcome: They're not accusing the R.O.'s of any wrongdoing so far, but getting the complaint on the record early gives them something to go back to after all is said and done, to complain about the process, save their own jobs with a "we was robbed" argument (and, in Taft's case, try to hold off Bronconnier in the process), and paint the Tories with yet another in a long line of patronage accusations. It's partisan political brinksmanship at its worst, and good people like Allie and Robin are paying the price.

Issue 2: Are the PC's having Returning Officers appointed based on party loyalty, rather than ability?

Answer: They'd better hope not, for their sake.

Nation, the reality is that the largest political party in this province is the one that's been in power for as long as half of us have been alive. It's got the power, it's got the leverage, and it's a big tent - which means that people who anywhere else would be Liberals and Conservatives, at each other's throat, are all part of the same big, happy (mostly) family, in the Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta. Being the party in power has a way of calming you down when you're considering killing the bleeding heart commie/rednecked neo-con neanderthal behind you at the party AGM. If politically active people, folks who are members of political parties, are the ones who tend to want these jobs, then it makes sense that the majority of them are PC Party members... most Albertans who belong to a political party, belong to the PC's.

IF, however, the party leadership is hand-picking Returning Officers, or Tory loyalists are being appointed to these jobs ahead of more qualified people, then there will be (and SHOULD be) hell to pay. You can't discriminate against someone for this job based on their political views - only on their willingness to supress them as their position demands. Likewise, nobody should be hired to this job BECAUSE of their political views or affiliation (or, alternatively, because of their lack thereof).

If we're going to ban people who are or were members of parties, then who's next? Disqualify Jane Smith, because her husband works on a rig up North, so she'll OBVIOUSLY be biased against the Greens? Of course, it's not the obvious bias that the media is focusing on now, it's the PERCEPTION of bias... so John White, who complained at a Town Hall meeting in 1997 about hospital wait times can't do the job, because there's a perception he'll be anti-Tory?

What if we extend this type of vetting? People who have been drunk in the past, or who are married to alcoholics, can't have jobs as drivers? "They're not drinking on the job!", you'd say. "No, but the perception is that they MIGHT...". You can't deny someone a job driving a bus because they got drunk in their apartment one night in 2002 - as long as they promise not to get (or be) hammered on the job.

Homosexuals, or relatives of homosexuals, can't have jobs that put them in contact with Evangelical Christians? "They're not having gay sex at work!", goes the argument. "No, but our Evangelical Christian customers might PERCEIVE them as WANTING to have gay sex at work...". You can't deny someone a job at Starbucks because their overwhleming gay-ness might get into some prig's Frappucino - so long as they agree to the employee code of conduct that clearly states "no gay sex in the customer service area".

Ridiculous.

And you can't deny someone a job as a Returning Officer because they have personal political opinions - provided they swore the oath to be impartial.

Come ON, kids... at the end of the day, all of these Returning Officers took an oath to execute their duties impartially. Either you believe them, or you're calling them liars - and if it's option b), then stop beating around the bush, and say what you mean. That means you, Edmonton Journal. Sun Media. CBC. Allie Wojtaszek took an oath to keep her personal politics out of her workplace. If you think she's lying, then stop going through her Flickr albums, and have the guts to say so.

... or drop it, and talk about - oh, I don't know - the policies of the parties who want to run this province? Just an idea. But that almost sounds too much like work. Good thing us bloggers aren't real media.

The Race For Calgary East

Calgary East is one of those ridings you might not expect the Tories to hold onto - especially if you're a big believer in ethnic bloc voting, and that the PC's are the "party of old, white men". Demographically, such a party wouldn't stand a hope in hell of getting elected in Calgary East - yet the PC's have held it for a decade and a half. The riding includes areas like Forest Heights, Marlborough and Radisson Heights - some of the lowest property-values in the city, and therefore the most likely place to find recent arrivals or folks who are down on their financial luck. The Liberals have been gaining steadily in the last 3 elections, and this was a targeted riding by many in the Liberal brain-trust this time a year ago. For 14+ years, PC Moe Amery has served as the MLA for the people of Calgary East. Amery is seeking re-election.

The Candidates:
Moe Amery (PC)
Bill Harvey (Lib)
Christopher Dovey (NDP)
Mike McCraken (WAP)
Ross Cameron (Grn)

Moe Amery is an institution in Calgary East, even if he's relatively unknown through the rest of the province. He is the prototypical "4th-line forward" of the political sphere - you need him to sit on committees, but he's not going to make it to cabinet - especially in light of allegations, ultimately unproven, of wrong-doing on his part a few years ago. Amery has good organization in Calgary East, as you'd expect from a long-time incumbent, and will be tough to move.

Bill Harvey ran for the Liberals in Calgary East in 2004, pulling in almost 29% of the popular vote. To win, he needs to either gain 2000 votes outright, or turn 1000 of Amery's voters to the Dark Side. Harvey was nominated rather late in the game this time around, and despite his strong ties to his community, may have a hard time getting "over the hump" due to the fact that he does not, in fact, live in the riding (which, in this author's opinion, shouldn't matter as much as it seems to). The Liberal organizers may have blown a chance in this riding, but time will tell.

Christopher Dovey is a local with deep roots in the community - exactly the type of candidate the Liberals should have tried to place here. Dovey organized a town hall to address concerns with the lack of repair at Marlborough Park Elementary last year, which gives him both local credibility as an organizer, and puts the shine on him among young area parents. He's also involved in ethnic politics - always tricky for the melanin-challenged. If he runs a fantastic, aggressive campaign and the Tories falter, there could be a big suprise on the morning of March 4th - don't bet the farm, but it's at least POSSIBLE.

Mike McCraken (no, I don't know if his brother's name is Phil) is a first-time candidate, with a long history of association with groups such as the Reform Party. The former commercial lender for CIBC and now business owner has a tough road ahead, as Calgary East is NOT the riding it was in the 1960's when Social Credit coasted to victory after victory here. McCracken may run into problems in the local candidate's forums, as his primary message seems to be that "The Tories have been around too long", followed by... well, by nothing. This may do more to help the Liberals and NDP than to help him, as people in this riding don't vote PC, they vote Moe Amery. This is NOT a hotbed of conservative thought, and the Wildrose Alliance had best not be mortgaging anyone's house on campaign expenses in Calgary East.

Ross Cameron is a rarity in provincial politics these days - he's a candidate with a platform that deviates from the script he's given by the Head Office. The Green candidate shares the values and policy ideas of the Green Party, but says his focus for the riding is on health care, education, and efficient transportation. The engineer has worked on major energy and power projects, but this may be his biggest challenge to date: In order to capture the votes of a majority in Calgary East, he's going to need to explain to them why he, and the Green Party, can help the people of this riding better than any of the other parties or candidates. Talking about the polar ice caps isn't going to win this riding, with schools crumbling and social infrastructure a mess. If he runs a great campaign, and steals votes from the Liberals, NDP, and disaffected Tories, he COULD place 3rd. Maybe.

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

The Race For Calgary Currie

For 33 years from its founding in 1971, Currie was considered a "bedrock riding" - The PC's were going to win, no matter what. Imagine their surprise when, in 2004, QR77 Afternoon Talk host Dave Taylor walked away with a win in the riding, by a little over 500 votes. Suddenly, the bedrock riding was in enemy hands. The incumbent, Taylor, is seeking re-election, but will have to face another ex-media personality, Arthur Kent of the Tories.

Demographically, Currie is a study in contrasts... the riding includes the high density low-rent apartment buildings just South of the "Red Mile", but also includes upper-crust "Mount Royal" - an area in which the Tories do exceptionally well, even during the last election, when they lost the riding. The less well-off parts of the riding tend to lean left, and carried Taylor to victory in 2004.

The Candidates:
Dave Taylor (Lib)
Arthur Kent (PC)
Marc Power (NDP)
Ken Mazeroll (WAP)
Graham MacKenzie (Grn)

Dave Taylor bitches and moans better than anyone in the legislature - but it works for his constituents, and I was an avid listener of his radio show "back in the day" (plus, he almost always read my e-mails on the air, so thanks, Dave). He has a keen intellect and works his butt off as the MLA and Taft's top lieutenant. He does come off as a bit too caustic for a lot of people, though - if he toned it down a bit, he'd like attract a lot more NDP voters, as well - good for his re-election prospects, but bad for the Liberal party overall. Taylor is the counterpoint to professorial Taft, and his "attack dog" style of questioning is effective - a point that is proven by just how much hard-core PC partisans hate the guy. He will be difficult to unseat in Currie.

Arthur Kent should have a spot on the World Poker Tour, because he is playing his cards masterfully. The former "Scud Stud" has placed himself opposite Premier Stelmach, which is sure to play EXTREMELY well in Upper Mount Royal, where "Ed" is a four-letter word. Surprisingly personable and approachable despite his international reputation, the newsman looks and sounds every bit the ideal representative for the muckity-mucks in the multi-million dollar homes on the riding's east side... whether he can reach out to the working poor in the basement suites and 1-bedroom walk-ups of the riding remains to be seen. One thing is for sure, though: The local debates between the 2 lead candidates in this riding will be a HELL of a lot of fun to listen to. :)

Mark Power is stuck between a rock (Taylor) and a hard place (Kent). The NDP candidate and social activist could normally be expected to do well in a riding with Currie's demographics - unfortunately for Power, Dave Taylor is already sounding the trumpet in the riding as a friend of the oppressed minorities, be they economic, sexual, ethnic, or otherwise. With the left-of-centre voters in full-on panic mode over Kent's broad appeal, the left is going to flock overwhlmingly to Taylor to try and keep Dave in office - leaving Mark twisting in the wind. The PoliSci grad from the University of Calgary is an accomplished debater, but on-stage with 2 media personalities, Power will be hard-pressed to compete with 2 maestros of the 30-second sound byte.

Ken Mazeroll captured 348 votes in this riding for the Alberta Alliance in 2004. He is banking on outrage among the Big Oil upper-crust in the riding over the new Royalty Regime. Despite the fact that this is his second run for MLA, not much is known about this candidate, other than the fact that he appears to be a big supporter of a certain independant candidate.

No information is available on Green candidate Graham MacKenzie at this time.

Monday, February 11, 2008

The Race For Calgary Cross

Calgary Cross can be forgiven for seeming inconspicuous - tucked away in a small corner of the city's North East, Cross generally only gets noticed around election time, and otherwise keeps to itself. The riding has been dominated since 1993 by Yvonne Fritz, who has never garnered any less than 60% of the popular vote. This is one of the safest seats in the province for the PC's.

The Candidates:
Yvonne Fritz (PC)
Ron Reinhold (Lib)
Shelina Hassanali (NDP)
Gordan Huth (WAP)
Susan Stratton (Grn)

Yvonne Fritz was a nurse in her past life, but left the profession to run for and serve as Alderman for Ward 5. She made the transition to MLA in 1993, most recently serving as Associate Minister of Affordable Housing and Urban Development. Fritz is an extremely popular and well thought-of MLA in her own riding, and many pundits suggest that if the Tories lose 82 races in Alberta once the votes are cast, Yvonne Fritz will still be standing when the dust clears as the party's lone MLA.

Ron Reinhold serves as a hockey referee and softball umpire, making him easily the most reviled candidate in the entire election - and, from what I'm told, a prime candidate for laser eye surgery (or a seeing eye dog). Seriously, though... He owns a private investigation firm, and instructs at Bow Valley College. A political newbie, the Liberals have thrown him to the wolves in Cross, where (unless his firm can dig up some dirt on Fritz) his goose may have been cooked before the writ was even dropped - the Liberal vote total in Cross has declined in every election since its founding in '93.

Shelina Hassanali is a social worker and union representative with strong ties to the community. In effect, she's the perfect candidate for the NDP. And while Brian Mason has cast his covetous eyes on Calgary, he'd be best advised not to bet the farm on Cross. Despite her high levels of personal popularity, Hassanali is considered by most to be running for 2nd place - which would be a tremendous feat in itself, in a Calgary riding.

Gordan Huth is a long-time resident of North Calgary and a veteran of the federal and provincial political scene, going back as far as the Reform days. He ran for the Alberta Alliance in 2004, finishing a distant 3rd in Cross. Gord describes himself as having a "passion for fiscal responsibility"... sounds exciting. :)

Susan Stratton is the President of the Alberta Greens. She ran in Calgary North Hill in 2004, where she finished 3rd and captured more votes than any other Green Party candidate in the entire election. A proud member of the infamous "Raging Grannies", Susan can realistically hope to capture a lot of NDP and protest votes in this riding, and perhaps finish as high as second place. A committed champion for the environment and former University of Calgary English professor, she is very likely to a) shine in any local debates, and b) notice the drastic decline in the quality of my writing since Blogger's "spell check" feature went on the fritz. Bonus points for her short-lived stint as a Blogger herself.

Lawn Signs

Nation, the writ was dropped a week ago today, and the battle for real estate is well underway.

The placement of lawn signs has been much-debated, and came up at daveberta.

Anecdotally, as I've travelled in and around Calgary over this past week, I've seen a lot of PC signs, nearly as many Liberal signs, and a grand total of ZERO signs for the NDP and WAP.

Guys... there's an ELECTION going on... we've known this was coming for months, now... WAP I can understand - they just picked a logo. NDP, what's your excuse?

In terms of placement - most of the PC signs are on residential lawns. The only PC's I've seen with signs that break the rules for placement are Alison Redford and Arthur Kent. The only Liberal sign I've seen that DIDN'T break the rules was one for Dave Taylor, in Mount Royal. Every other Liberal sign I've seen has been on public land along a major route - in what I understand to be direct violation of city rules. An independant candidate in my own riding has also chosen to violate the rules, and many of his signs are located right next to Liberal signs (notable exceptions: the signs he has placed on church property, and the signs he placed on the property of the Carriage House Inn - location of this week-end's Wildrose Alliance campaign launch. They're running a candidate against him).

I'm not privy to the instructions that the sign crews are receiving... but, in the election where I served on a sign crew for a PC candidate, I was told in no uncertain terms "Keep the signs off major routes, and within the rules - a sign along Anderson Road says 'I've got too much money'. A sign on someone's lawn says 'a real, voting human being who lives here supports me and what I stand for'."

Nation? What are you seeing?

Sunday, February 10, 2008

The Race For Calgary Buffalo

This riding was formed in 1971, and was a Tory stronghold from that point until 1986, when Sheldon Chumir wrestled control of the riding into Liberal hands. The Liberals held the seat until 2001, when current MLA Harvey Cenaiko won the riding back for the PC's. Cenaiko will not be running for re-election.

Calgary Buffalo is the least predictable riding in the city. With a high turnover of residents due to its inner-city location, the demographics of this area can change radically in between elections. Further exacerbating the frustrations of candidates in the area is the prevalence of high-density housing and secured apartment buildings, which make door-knocking and lawn signs difficult, if not downright impossible.

The Candidates:
Sean Chu (PC)
Kent Hehr (Lib)
Robert Lawrence (NDP)
Steven Rickets (Grn)

There is no nominated Wildrose Alliance candidate at this time.

Sean Chu arrived to Calgary from Taiwan in 1985 speaking not a word of english, and within 7 years he was a sworn officer with the Calgary Police Service, and spoke better english than most people I know. In the time since, Chu has taken on a role in the community as a bridge-builder, bringing people of many different backgrounds together - especially important in a riding with large immigrant populations, that tend to stick with their own. Seniors issues are another area in which Sean has earned kudos over the years. Chu is hoping that the inclination of the people of Buffalo to elect ex-cops (Cenaiko) over the past 8 years will pay dividends for him on polling day.

Kent Hehr is a Calgary lawyer with, by all accounts, the heart of a champion. Struck down by gunfire in a drive-by shooting at age 21, Hehr (an innocent bystander) found himself confined to a wheelchair as a quadriplegic. Less than a year later he enrolled at the University of Calgary, and earned a law degree. Hehr has served the community on many boards, and is a compelling figure in person. The challenges that any other candidate would have with the hustings in this riding are magnified for Kent - but Hehr has a reputation for rising to meet challenges, and overcoming them. Many consider Hehr the favourite in this race.

Steven Rickets and Robert Lawrence have no information available at this time. (Pssst! Hey, guys - the election's started!)

Debate Set?

Bob McInnis at the Alberta Election 2008 blog is reporting that the Leaders' Debate has been set for Thursday, February 21st at 6:30. Good on CTV and the parties for not having the debate on a Tuesday night - that's Jericho night, baby!

The leaders involved will be Ed Stelmach (PC), Kevin Taft (Lib), Brian Mason (NDP), and Paul Hinman (WAP). George Read, leader of the Green Party, has reportedly not been invited to participate.

Now, here's the thing: The Greens are polling AHEAD of the Wildrose Alliance. What that means, in layman's terms, is more Albertans are interested in what George Read has to say than they are in what Paul Hinman has to say.

I know, I know: The Alliance has an elected MLA, and the Greens don't. The debates are usually reserved for the parties with elected members.

HOWEVER... the NDP elected no MLA's in 1993 - did they not still get a seat at the debate in 1997? For that matter, from 1971 to 1985, not a single Liberal sat in the Legislature... I'm a bit young to remember, but is someone suggesting that no Liberal participated in the debates in 1975, 1979, 1982 and 1986? They elected 4 MLA's in 1986, was that without a spot in the debate? Granted, the Greens have never elected a member to the Legislature, and those other parties had...

George Read is, by most accounts, not the best speaker. The Green platform, although well-intentioned, is clearly written by environmentalists with little grasp of political reality. But, many experts and pollsters report that the environment is one of the most important issues to Albertan voters. Despite the handicaps they face, the Greens are still polling equal to or very near the WAP, and JUST shy of the NDP.

What do you think, Nation? Should the Greens have a seat at the debate, or is 5 too many?

Nomination Shenanigans

Well, Nation, we've got a couple "tales of the absurd" to pass on from the party nomination department of "Enlightened Savage: Alberta Decides 2008".

Firstly, submitted for your approval: A man contests a nomination in the most disfunctional political area in the province (both provincially and municipally), and finds his nomination rejected by the party due to procedural concerns. His logical response? File a human rights complaint. The rejected candidate's cause is championed by Concerned Christians Canada, which claims that the candidate's rejection is a clear case of "Christ-ophobia". Stories suggest that the rejected candidate may also be a member of the AMA, which is also considering filing a human rights complaint that the candidate was rejected based on "Car-ophobia".

The "human right" that the man was denied? The "right" to serve as an MLA. "He was denied a position as an MLA due to his religious beliefs!", cries the CCC. Only one problem: Nobody, and I mean NOBODY, said the man couldn't be an MLA. The PC Party of Alberta said that he couldn't represent them as a candidate - a volunteer position, not a job - for the party, based on the process that the local party board used to nominate him. If I fill out my application for the Calgary Police Service incorrectly, filing a complaint that I was denied my "right" to a job as a police officer due to "Blonde-ophobia" is laughable. If I apply to be a volunteer scout troop leader, but get rejected from doing so because of incomplete paperwork, accusing the Boy Scouts of "Beard-ophobia" in denying me my "right" to lead a Boy Scout Troop will get me a quick and well-earned slap upside the head from the filing clerk.

Nobody's denying this man, or anyone else rejected as a party candidate for ANY party, the "right" to do anything. They're being denied the privilege of running for that particular party - a private association, with its own rules about who can and can't volunteer as a candidate or executive. The fact that they ask members to vote at all doesn't make it a democracy - the Stampede Board doesn't hold a vote on volunteer applicants. This private club decides, through its own rules, who can and can't volunteer for them and represent them. If I try to volunteer at Dave Hancock's office as a door-knocker, and I've got a shaved head with a giant swastika carved into my scalp, I'd expect to be rejected as a door-knocker without having my "rights" violated. Nobody said I can't knock on doors - I just can't knock on doors for Dave Hancock. In this case, it was a procedural issue. In other cases, it was a personality issue.

The job of MLA is completely seperate from this, and every other, party nomination. If this candidate wins a seat in the legislature in a democratically valid, legal General Election supervised by Elections Alberta, and is denied his seat, THEN he's being denied a job, and his rights are being violated. Being told that the club doesn't want you, or that you screwed up your paperwork, and you can't volunteer for them? Life sucks sometimes... get over it, and move on.

Our second story comes from the Alberta Liberals, who moved swiftly (to their credit) to dump a candidate after he was charged with 1 count of accepting a bribe and 4 counts of trafficking drugs in his job at a correctional centre.

Look... there are a great many people who want to run for MLA, but avoid it because they said or wrote something they shouldn't have, or slept with someone they shouldn't have, 15 years ago... some avoid running because they don't want that DUI from 1992 being brought up in public, or they don't want to meet the vengeful ex-girlfriend that their opponent dug up to dish the dirt at a town hall meeting. That's dirty politics, but it IS politics.

THIS is just common sense... if you've recently committed a felony, you should probably NOT contest a nomination for an upcoming election. Likewise, if you've recently WON a nomination, you should probably try to avoid accidentally breaking the law - by accepting bribes and trafficking drugs (allegedly) - it may get out. Just a thought.

Incidentally... I wonder if that former candidate will file a complaint with a human rights commission because he was denied his right to serve as an MLA based on the Liberal party's notorious "Drug Dealer-ophobia"...

- E.S., who most certainly does NOT have a giant swastika carved into his scalp.

A Note On the "Race For..." Coverage

Nation, many of you have no doubt noticed that, in my break-down of Calgary Bow, the first in my 2008 Canadian Blog Award-winning series on the Calgary Ridings in this provincial election, I didn't spend any time talking about the policies of the candidates. This is in stark contrast to the coverage I provided on the Calgary municipal races.

The reason for this is quite simple: Most of the candidates don't have policies.

Policies of their OWN, anyway... I'll be providing coverage to all of the parties, informing the E.S. Nation of any important policy announcements, and constantly updating the party platforms.

For your local MLA candidates, though, assume their policies to be the same as their party. I'm just trying to give you some background on these people who are applying for a job with you, the people of Alberta, and also some information on the ridings, at least as far as how it may affect their choice.

The rest is up to you, voter. :-)

Saturday, February 9, 2008

The Race For Calgary Bow

Alana DeLong (PC) has held this seat since 2001. In the last election, she beat Liberal challenger Kelly McDonnell by 2,585 votes. DeLong is seeking re-election.

The Candidates:
Alana DeLong (PC)
Greg Flanagan (Lib)
Teale Phelps-Bondaroff (NDP)
Randy Weeks (Grn)
Len Skowronski (SC)

There is no currently nominated Wildrose Alliance candidate.

If Brian Mason thinks his NDP has any chance at all in Calgary, this is the riding he's thinking of. This was the only riding in Calgary that drew over 1,000 votes for the NDP in 2004. The riding includes the community of Bowness, long a bastion of small-l liberal social ideals. Of note is the relatively low property value in the riding, which makes it an attractive place for newly-arrived residents of Calgary to buy or rent - a trend that could certainly affect the voting patterns of the area, in favour of the parties to the left. Mason's candidate is Teale Phelps Bondaroff, a 21 year-old university student who ran in the 2006 Federal election against Rob Anders in Calgary West.

Greg Flanagan has a son at the University of Calgary, and that's where the comparisons between he and Teale stop. Flanagan is an economist and public policy expert, having authored stacks and stacks of materials (and killing lord knows how many trees). He taught Economics at Mount Royal College for 16 years, and served as Assistant Dean in the Faculty of Management at the University of Lethbridge (Go Pronghorns!) and Dean of Studies at Calgary's St. Mary's University-College.

There is absolutely no information available on the Green candidate, Randy Weeks.

Len Skowronski is the leader of the Social Credit Party in Alberta, a post that he has held since being elected Leader in November of 2007. A former teacher, Len moved on to the oilpatch, where his training in mathematics helped him as a programmer, among other things. He later went on to take a lead role in the I.T. Consulting area with Deloitte & Touche in the Middle East.

Alana DeLong has served as MLA for Calgary Bow since 2001. She pondered a run for the PC Leadership in 2006, before backing out. Alana has served as a model of the so-called "Red Tory", being fiscally aware while at the same time agitating for attention to the social issues that plague her constituency. The voters of Bow have rewarded her with very strong mandates. An Information Technology guru, Alana is also an avid outdoors enthusiast, a veteran of stage (both acting and singing), and is quite possibly the only Calgary MLA to live in a log home - in Bowness, no less.

If You Want Something Done Right...

Nation, I spent much of last night huddled in deep discussion with the Cabinet of E.S. Nation. I have, as recently as yesterday, held out hope that the MSM would be able to cover this election race in a way that would add to the discussion, rather than to the cacophony of noise and spin.

It seems that few share my optimism.

And so, against my better judgement, and doubtless to the detriment of my relationship, I'll be covering the Race For Calgary. All 23 constituencies within the boundaries of the City of Calgary will be featured, starting... well, I guess, starting today.

I am NOT fool enough to try to cover all 83 seats... I have little more idea what's happening in Peace River or Medicine Hat than any of you, and won't pretend anything to the contrary.

CALGARY, though, I know. And so it begins.

I'll also be covering the races in the constituencies of the party leaders... as we saw with Lady MacBeth, often a party will push "extra hard" to gain a seat held by an opposing party's leader. E.S. will let you know what's happening in the home ridings of Ed Stelmach (PC), Kevin Taft (Lib), Brian Mason (NDP), Paul Hinman (WAP), and George Read (Grn).

Hold on tight, kids...

p.s. early Vegas odds are favouring Ken Chapman over daveberta for their "Citv TV Slaughterhouse Match" next Friday, giving Ken an early 3 to 2 line. Dave has momentum, coming off his big CBA Triple-Crown win, but Ken's a trained lawyer - in any spontaneous discussion where b.s. is allowed, the edge HAS to go to the lawyer. The over/under time for punches thrown is 7:51 am, right after the weather. ;-)

Friday, February 8, 2008

And They're Off! ... Aren't They?

Nation, with the drop of the writ for an Alberta General Election on this past Monday, political pundits of all mediums began salivating over the bloodbath that was sure to follow... mud-slinging, policy discussion (let a boy dream...), transparent photo ops extraordinaire - for the first time in recent memory, the outcome was a little less than 100% certain. This was going to be fun...

Still waiting.

Now almost 20% of the way through the race, what we've seen from the leaders of the major parties - and, in some cases, the media - has been nothing short of an underwhelming comedy of errors. Even the good policies are being overshadowed by blunders, on all sides of the aisle.

Be it Liberal press releases recapping events that have yet to occur, Tory promises to provide 250 ERR 100 ERR 50 new doctors, or NDP claims (since retracted) of discussions with Bill Hunter (of the Royalty Review), every party has seemingly done its very best to get down in the crouch... wait for the gun... on your marks... get set... take 2 steps forward, turn around, and trip over your own feet.

The Calgary Sun got in the act yesterday, reporting that Rod Love had endorsed a Liberal candidate (since retracted). Note to the Sun: Just because you THOUGHT you heard it on the radio, you can't report it as fact. That's lazy, even to a Blogger - and we don't even necessarily change out of our pj's before we write. But then, we're not credible, real journalists, right?

Even the leaders themselves seem unsure of the specifics of their plans... when a print-out of the policy book, or a calculator and a volunteer with Math 20 can help them out. Ed doesn't seem to know how much his policies will save the average taxpayer - a point that might interest the average taxpayer, and since there are cameras and reporters around, a point that someone might want to make sure is included in his speaking points. Kevin Taft doesn't know how long he'll put a freeze on school closures for. Brian Mason seems to think that raising oil & gas royalties by 60% would earn Alberta an additional $4 Billion per year - odd, since a sudden hike of that amount would, by most non-pharmaceutically induced estimates, result in oil & gas companies running out on Alberta like Diamond Joe Quimby on a beauty pageant winner after midnight.

Taft has gone against party orthodoxy, by suggesting that not all oil & gas companies are the same evil, monolithic Tory-lovers that Liberals speak of in scary stories around the campfire, and he's going to prove it - by gouging the OIL companies, but giving natural gas producers a break on royalties, possibly let them drill inside protected areas, and eliminate the rebate on home heating for natural gas. Right in the middle of a cold snap.

Brian Mason is still... well, Brian Mason. He wants to re-do the royalty review, all over again. But, since he's already announced he favours the Alaskan model, what's the point in the review? If you know you're going to change it, and you know what you want to change it TO, why spend money reviewing it? Probably something about working families.

Ed Stelmach is getting ROASTED in the media... kids at a high school thought he was dodgy on the issues. Moms at a daycare were singularly unimpressed with his child-care plan announcement. We're not sure when there's going to be even ONE debate, FORGET about 2 or more. Here's a little free advice, Mr. Premier: The voters don't want to hear about percentages off the tax roll, and raising of thresholds... they want to hear dollars. Those mothers yesterday wanted to hear "we're creating a thousand new day-care spaces, and here's how, and it'll cost us this. AND we're directly subsidizing $100 per month. AND we're opening up spaces to train more childcare workers. AND if you choose to raise your kid at home, we'll give you a tax break. $600 a year works out to $25 less tax per paycheque. That's $50 a month, when an average day care spot costs what, $600+ per month? No wonder those mothers were unimpressed...

Memo to the Premier's Staff: Don't take him "on the road" to make announcements unless you're 100% sure that the people who are present in the room will think the announcements are a *good* thing. You look like amateurs right now, and you're making your boss look like a fool in front of the cameras.
There's a real fear in Tory-dom that the PC's blew their wad BEFORE the election, with the pork-barrel announcements, and that with the release of the throne speech, there's nothing left to unveil. If we spend the next 23 days hearing the throne speech reiterated over and over, with nothing new, it's going to be a long, LONG 3 weeks for Tory supporters. What voters want now are the gory details... and if Ed can't provide them with details, they'll see if Kevin or Brian can.

daveberta - winner of 11 Academy Awards, including Best Picture and Best Haircut on a Blogger - will be covering the race for Calgary Egmont on February 15th, as part of his coverage on races that are "up for grabs". I look forward to his insight for a couple of reasons - firstly, I'm sick of writing about Egmont, and want someone else's view. Secondly, I want to see if Dave concurs with the emails I keep receiving from the Regressive Group for Incessant Belly-achers (or whatever they're called) Kool-Aid drinkers who insist that their man is going to pull in 90% of the popular vote.

Tory insiders are suggesting that the loss of Ralph Klein is going to hurt them in Calgary, to the tune of 20% - and that's 20%, all things being equal. A stronger Liberal party, a poorly-run Tory campaign, the much-ballyhoo'd cabinet snub for Calgary (which wasn't much of a snub at all) and fall-out from the royalty changes could combine for an overall swing of 25-30% in Fortress Calgary. Seats that would be in danger if this is the case (Showing a Tory loss, or win by less than 1,000) would include (based on modified 2004 voting numbers):
  • Calgary Bow
  • Calgary Foothills
  • Calgary McCall
  • Calgary Montrose
  • Calgary North West
  • Calgary West
  • Calgary Buffalo
  • Calgary East
  • Calgary Glenmore
  • Calgary North Hill
  • Calgary Nose Hill
Calgary, is THIS your future?


Not all that likely... but not as impossible as it seemed say, 10 years ago, either...

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Speech From The Throne - Recap and Reaction

Nation, I will be posting the full text of the Speech from the Throne here. My reactions will be in red, for the sake of contrast.

Speech from the Throne
February 4, 2008

Fourth Session of the Twenty-sixth Legislature

Delivered by His Honour Norman L. Kwong, CM, AOE
Lieutenant Governor

My Fellow Albertans, welcome to the Fourth Session of the Twenty-sixth Alberta Legislature.

Our gathering here today is part of an enduring legacy of centuries of democratic tradition. It’s so easy to take for granted the blessings of democracy that this province and this nation enjoy. But it only takes a read of the daily newspaper to be reminded that this tradition is not enjoyed everywhere around the world. We read of discontent, violence, and tyranny — and our hearts ache.

Here, however, in this magnificent chamber and in the communities outside these doors and across the province, we see the rich rewards of our democratic tradition, and our hearts soar.

Our ability — our right — to gather here today stems from a legacy of democracy which each of us must pledge to uphold and protect at all times.

Today, brave Canadian men and women in uniform are doing just that, half a world away. Indeed, many of those who have served us overseas have been fellow Albertans — our neighbours and our friends.

As we gather to celebrate our blessings today, we should acknowledge with profound gratitude the courage and sacrifice members of our armed forces are demonstrating in pursuit of the most noble of goals — the promotion of freedom and democracy.

Today, I speak as well of another legacy. Not the legacy of a particular government, or a particular Legislative Assembly, but the 100-year legacy of an entire province and its people: A legacy born from Albertans’ dreams and hopes — for their children and for their province.

Indeed, new aspirations are being conceived right now, to be fully realized in the years ahead. I speak of Alberta’s leadership role in Canada’s New West.

Albertans know their province is poised to assume that leadership mantle. The last decade in Alberta has been one of astonishing growth — population growth, economic growth, and cultural and social development.

Because of this historic record of achievement, Alberta stands poised on the threshold of a glorious future. Securing that future must be our legacy, and your government stands ready to help Albertans achieve this.

Your government has a vision for our province that is crafted from the dreams of Albertans, and shaped by their hopes; a vision in which all Albertans benefit from the province’s prosperity by proper, effective investments into services and infrastructure that improve quality of life; a vision of a province well-positioned to meet the needs of a rapidly growing population; a vision in which Alberta is master of its own future, and well-prepared to weather the global economic storms that appear on the horizon from time to time; a vision of a clean, healthy natural environment to be bequeathed to our children.

Above all, it is a vision of a province where individual Albertans are confident that the only limits to our success are the scope of our dreams and the strength of our desire; a province where families are strong, and where young people have a well-founded faith that the future holds promise for all in equal measure.

In this legislative session, and in all legislative sessions in which it has the privilege of governing, this government will lay out a clear plan for achieving this vision. This plan will support strong communities as the key to sustaining and enhancing our high quality of life. It will take bold action to combine development with a strong environmental ethic. And it will capitalize on new opportunities to grow our economy and secure long-term prosperity for all Albertans.

Your government will act on what Albertans have told it, and it will introduce legislation and initiatives that reflect the time-honoured values of Albertans and the bold spirit of Alberta’s future.

Albertans know that the success of the last decade has led to unprecedented opportunity. And they also know, as this government knows, that complex problems emerge as growth creates prosperity.

Albertans are concerned about access to health services, even as the province spends record amounts on health care. They are troubled by what seems to be increased crime and violence in their communities, even as new crime-prevention programs begin to reap dividends. They are bothered by traffic snarls on Alberta’s roads, even as the province invests heavily in new infrastructure. And they are anxious about the number of homeless Albertans, even as the province enjoys great prosperity.

In particular, they are concerned about the rising cost of housing and other expenses, even as family incomes increase. And they worry about the province’s natural environment, even as citizens and government become more environmentally wise with each passing year.

The government’s plan forcefully addresses these concerns, and commits to working in close partnership with Albertans on practical solutions — building a sound and sustainable legacy for the future.

Let us turn to that plan.

So far, so good. As preamble goes, it's very well worded, although piling on the negativity right at the end wouldn't have been my first choice...

A Plan for Alberta’s Health System

All those "no plan" accusations must have stung - every section of this speech is entitled "A Plan For..."

A major focus of the government’s plan for the coming year is the promotion of lifelong health. We will continue the dialogue begun at last month’s Forum on Healthy Communities to help individuals, families and communities take greater control of their health. We will work closely with community partners, First Nations and other stakeholders to address social causes of poor health, especially as they affect children and youth. And we will outline strategies to further increase access to community-based health care, and improve access to family physicians.

Your government will also take advantage of opportunities to improve the quality and safety of Alberta’s health system. From implementing provincial standards to prevent and control infection, to investing in health infrastructure — Alberta will continue building an innovative health system that is among the best in the world.

Alberta will plan and provide for its current and future health workforce needs, which is vital to improving access to services. Government will increase the number of training spaces for health care workers, continue its recruitment of internationally educated health professionals, and by working with the federal government and regulatory bodies we will make it quicker and easier for qualified professionals to join the health workforce.

These and other policy changes will be guided by a new, long-term directional plan for Alberta’s health system. The plan will create a comprehensive framework designed to support high-quality healthcare that is accessible when and where Albertans need it.

All good points... more mention of preventative steps would have been good, as well as alternative therapies. I recently began receiving cranio-sacral treatments, and my therapist is booked SOLID - recognition of the service that she (and other therapists like her) provides would go a long way towards dealing with issues before they show up at an emergency ward at 11:30 pm, with a book, a pillow, a blanket, and little hope of seeing a doctor before sun-rise.

Adding 2 more ER docs per shift, and 10 more E.R. beds per hospital, would be a hell of a good start in addressing THAT issue - if you broke your thumb and can sit, you'll be in within 60 minutes, but a back injury and you're lying on the floor for 8 hours, waiting for a bed? A recent trip to the E.R. in my family dug up an interesting tidbit - the paramedics at the E.R., waiting for a bed for their patient, had been there for 4 hours. How much would we save on money spent paying paramedics to drink coffee waiting in line at the E.R. if we paid for more beds and Docs? If they could be in and out in 20 minutes, we wouldn't need to pay so many Paramedics to be on during each shift... right?

Other aspects of the health system that Alberta can more than afford to spend on, which would pay political dividends but more importantly improve the quality of life for all Albertans: Pharmacare, full coverage of chiropractic care (if it's legitimate enough to cover PARTIALLY, isn't it legitimate enough to cover fully?), and (god forbid!) full dental coverage (a crown scheduled for later this month will cost me $1,400 out-of-pocket).

So far, I'm seeing the word "plan" a lot - this is almost certainly to contrast this government with the Klein regime, which is generally acknowledged to have been running on auto-pilot, with no real plan, for 5 or more years before Ralph left in 2006. This is a double-edged sword, though, as you don't want to be seen as the party with a pound of plans, but only an ounce of actions. Alberta's voters are a "Where's The Beef?" electorate, and want to see solid commitments to courses of action, not just plans. That's what the campaign is for.

A Plan for Education and Employment

Lifelong learning goes hand-in-hand with lifelong health as key elements of a high quality of life. International testing shows that Alberta students are already among the best in the world. This government will not let up on its efforts to further strengthen our education system.

To provide a fresh and youthful perspective on learning, the government will establish a youth advisory committee on education. This committee will explore new and innovative ways to improve the learning opportunities available to young Albertans. Your government will also co-host an education research symposium to ensure that Alberta’s learning system meets the needs of students of the 21st century. And to establish stability in Alberta’s classrooms, it will implement the historic agreement to resolve the unfunded teachers’ pension liability.

For the post-secondary education system, the government will introduce legislation to reflect how Alberta’s post-secondary institutions are operating under a new, clearly defined framework — designed to support an unprecedented era of cooperation focused on benefits for students, taxpayers and society. This new “Campus Alberta” approach will improve transferability and access for students throughout the province, and enhance the accountability of all partners to ensure accessible, affordable and quality education.

Alberta’s higher-learning institutions will be responsive to all aspects of the skilled and knowledge-based workforce, especially in high demand areas such as health-based fields and trades training.

With education comes the desire for meaningful employment. And Albertans are finding that type of employment at record rates today. In fact, with Alberta’s strong economy and low unemployment rate, meeting workforce demands continues to be a challenge. You need not go very far in Alberta to see the signs of a hot labour market and a shortage of workers.

The government and employers are working together to address this challenge through Alberta’s 10-year labour strategy: Building and Educating Tomorrow’s Workforce. This year, sector-specific strategies will be developed to address the needs of the forestry, transportation, and non-profit and volunteer sectors — and to increase participation of Aboriginal Albertans in the workforce.

With an anticipated shortage of workers and slowing inter-provincial migration, Alberta is looking abroad to help meet future labour needs. As part of Alberta’s immigration strategy, a foreign qualification recognition plan will be implemented this year. It will put in place mechanisms to ensure that newcomers with foreign credentials and work experience are able to make the most of their skills in Alberta’s economy.

Your government will expand the Provincial Nominee Program. This program allows Alberta to better target immigration towards our specific labour needs. The number of people nominated will double to 5,000 next year.

Alberta will also continue to work with the federal government to ensure that the temporary foreign worker program meets Alberta’s needs and protects temporary foreign workers. Your government will provide support to workers through new advisory offices opened in December and through stepped-up inspection of workplaces.

The employment crunch is traced back to the 4 tonne elephant in the middle of the room: Oil & gas. Students (most of them average, but even some exceptional ones) look at their options in grade 12, and see a fork in the road: One route leads to local employment, perhaps a long apprenticeship at a trade school, bouncing from office job to office job, or taking on huge student debt to try and get through university. The other route goes North, and finds them earning more money than most first-year medical doctors, at age 18. Fort McMurray, or the Shawnessy McDonald's for $10/hour? Tough call... and the kicker is, there's nothing TO be done about it. As long as the oilpatch stays this active, we will always have a shortage of workers for all the other jobs - but kudos for trying to make it easier to import some qualified help from out-of-province (and out-of-country).

The unfunded liability issue was a big deal, and I expected them to make more hay out of the agreement than they did. No mention of Mount Royal College's efforts to reach full University status - this publicly funded college is paying literally HUNDREDS of full-time staff to make this happen. If it's not GOING to, the province should SAY so, and stop wasting the College's time - and the taxpayer's money - on the effort.

A Plan for Community Infrastructure

I now turn to other aspects of your government’s plan for Alberta’s future.

Successful communities require modern, efficient public infrastructure. Catching up, and keeping up with those needs continues to be a priority. Your government has developed a 20-year strategic capital plan for Alberta that will grow our economy, add capacity to health, education and transportation, and ensure that we do keep up with the needs of a dynamic province.

This year, your government will begin construction of 18 new schools in Edmonton and Calgary, using a new model of public-private partnerships to finance and build more quickly, and more-affordably than traditional methods. SHOULD have been followed with: "Although the need to assume the temporary debt on these projects is regrettable, it is a debt which we owe to our children, and we commit to paying our debts to them, and to our private partners, in full and as soon as possible - years ahead of schedule."

The Government of Alberta recognizes the critical importance of maintaining and upgrading existing roads and highways. Over the next three years, provincial investment in highway repaving and bridge repairs will almost double, to nearly one billion dollars.

Please... somebody, tell me there's more to this... 4 paragraphs?

A Plan to Improve Services for Albertans in Their Communities

The government knows that a strong sense of compassion and desire for fairness is as much a part of Alberta’s future legacy as is economic strength. The plan for Alberta includes meaningful measures to help citizens take their rightful places in society.

We will help low- and middle-income families with the costs of care for their school-aged children, enhance the availability of out-of-school care programs, and help ensure that children are in safe, supervised environments before and after school.

Government will work with First Nations and Métis Albertans to strengthen their important roles in Alberta. Effective partnerships will be created to support Aboriginal economic development and employment opportunities. And Alberta will work with other governments, friendship centres, and other Aboriginal representatives to enhance urban Aboriginal initiatives.

Your government recognizes the aspirations and special needs of Albertans with disabilities. Benefits under the Assured Income for the Severely Handicapped program will be increased, and additional employment supports will be provided to those AISH clients who want to work. Take THAT, Ralph!

Further investments will help contracted agencies attract and retain qualified workers to support adults with developmental disabilities, as well as children and families.

A demographic planning commission will be appointed to study the needs of an aging population. Its findings will help government develop an aging population policy framework to help decision-makers prepare for meeting the needs of future seniors. Meeting the needs of future seniors is great, and important. I'M a future senior. But there are 362,000 voters over age 65 in this province, and many of them don't, to coin a phrase, give a tinker's damn what wonderful plan we have in 5 years, after the committees all meet. They want to know what you're going to do for THEM - and you've got 27 days left to convince them.

Your government will continue to take aggressive action on affordable housing and homelessness. It will work to fulfill its pledge to create more than 11,000 new affordable housing units over five years, and it will partner with municipalities to increase the supply of available rental accommodation, particularly for students and seniors.

It will take steps to end homelessness in Alberta within 10 years with the creation of the Alberta Secretariat for Action on Homelessness. The secretariat will work closely with municipalities throughout the province to co-ordinate and support regional strategies, using the best practices of programs that have worked.

Cultural vitality is also important to Albertans. In 2008, the government will implement its bold, new policy — The Spirit of Alberta — to guide decisions on the support and development of Alberta’s culture. Collaboration between government and the private and not-for-profit sectors will be vital to ensure that the province has a vibrant arts sector in the future, and is recognized nationally and internationally as innovative and competitive.

These are very good commitments... there's again a lot of mentioning of plans, or of bold new strategies... I'm wondering if these plans and strategies are available for Henry and Martha to read, ahead of polling day? Normally they might ask their MLA, but wouldn't you know it - for some reason, their offices are closed right now...

A Plan to Reduce Crime and Violence

Your government understands that people must feel safe in their homes and their communities. That’s why Alberta will allocate significant new funding to implement an aggressive strategy to reduce crime and make all our communities safer.

Alberta will be getting tougher with law-breakers, especially chronic offenders — the small percentage of criminals who commit most of the crimes — and working harder to prevent some of the root causes of crime by increasing access to mental health services and treatment for drug addictions. Take THAT, Brian Mason! About time, and likely to be very effective.

Your government will provide funding to add more front-line police officers to target serious crimes involving violence and drugs — crimes that erode our sense of safety. It will launch a new investigative unit to target organized criminal activities in our communities such as drug dens, gang and prostitution houses. This unit will support safe communities by shutting down these properties that are breeding grounds for crime and disturbances that can devastate neighbourhoods.

Preventing criminals from re-offending is a critical factor in crime reduction. Alberta will put more probation officers in communities to enhance offender supervision and provide increased support and direction to offenders who want to break the revolving door cycle of crime and become contributing members of society. New funding will be allocated to appoint more judges and hire more crown prosecutors and support staff. This will help speed up the justice system, and get law-breakers off the streets and behind bars faster.

Your government will also develop a strategy to foster sensible alcohol use and reduce alcohol-related harm. It will also increase the number of inspectors to ensure that the rules regarding the sale and consumption of alcohol in licensed establishments are respected.

All very good, and likely to play well to the "law and order" voters. Notable by its absence is any mention of the plan championed by some in government to make all peace officers in the province "Alberta Sheriff's", including Fish & Wildlife Officers, Forestry Officers, and Parks Conservation Officers. Since that plan also includes replacing the RCMP in doing rural community policing, likely it's been put on the back-burner, while they train the neccessary numbers to do the job.

A Plan for the Environment

This is one of my pet interests... pleaseohpleaseohplease be good...

It’s no secret that Albertans have a special relationship with the land. Our province is big, beautiful and bountiful, and we are grateful for the opportunities it gives us. We place a high value on clean air, clean water and pristine open spaces.

With growth comes unprecedented pressure on Alberta’s landscape, and this must be effectively managed. There are competing demands from forestry, mining, oil and gas, recreation, housing and infrastructure — often on the same parcels of land. This leads to conflict between users and has the potential to degrade the land, air and water. So where is our promised "Integrated Land and Water Use Framework"? Minister Morton?

Alberta must ensure that the land — your land — is managed responsibly for future generations. The old, ad hoc approach is no longer appropriate. An innovative new approach to land-use planning and assessing the cumulative effects of development is designed to safeguard our environmental heritage in a time of phenomenal growth.

In particular, the Government of Alberta will continue to strengthen environmental protection for the oil sands region — the site of several approved and proposed major developments.

In partnership with the energy sector and other Albertans, government will develop a strategy for responsible energy development and use in Alberta. The strategy will encourage innovative energy development, focusing on renewable and alternative energy, and reducing energy consumption through efficiency and conservation.

Alberta will continue to strive to be an international leader on climate change issues. The government will implement a practical and achievable climate change plan to ensure that the environment is protected and that Alberta remains a secure and sustainable supplier of energy.

Your government will also begin work with industry to put in place the infrastructure needed to capture and store carbon dioxide emissions from large industrial facilities. This is a move that will see truly significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in our province, and will ensure that Alberta’s energy is clean energy.

Alberta will also continue to be a leader in water management. Water for Life, the most comprehensive strategy of its kind in North America, has guided water management policies in this province since 2003. However, population growth and the effects of climate change are putting new pressures on water supply and aquatic ecosystems.

The government is responding to those pressures. It will increase funding to improve knowledge of surface and groundwater resources, and increase the capacity to monitor water resources. The upcoming year will see a renewed focus on watershed planning, and water quality conservation.

There is no question that Albertans want to do their part to protect the environment — while others talk, Albertans lead. The next decade requires immediate and meaningful action to protect the environment. This government, working with Albertans, will meet that challenge with practical policies designed to reach achievable goals.

The PC's take a beating when promising "immediate... action", yet releasing plans like the recent one that will reduce net GHG emissions within 20 years.

One sensible action that would also reap rewards at the polling booth was notably absent from this section of the speech - the expansion of Alberta's Provincial Parks system.

Campgrounds that had been pristine and well-run, featuring free firewood and interpretive programs at the spotless aphitheatre for the kids, are now a thing of the past. Most of the campgrounds are privately run, just one notch higher than "condemned" as laid out in their private contracts. Firewood costs $4 to $8 per bag, and firepits are being ripped out of the most popular day-use spots for "forest fire concerns", while it's perfectly legal to hike into the forest for 2 kilometres, pick up deadfall (for free!), and start a fire in the middle of the forest.

Take back the campgrounds - put back the firepits - and make some new parks. There are huge swaths of land near Calgary that are currently used for forestry, including parts of Kananaskis Country. Making some of those into full Provincial Parks would be monetarily cheap, and symbolically significant. Encouraging the use of our parks and protected areas saves millions in health care dollars, and improves our quality of life - which makes us much more likely to vote for the government in office, by the way. Heck, shore up your right flank by naming one of the new parks "Preston Manning Provincial Park", while you're at it. But, save for a few ticked off campground operators and sawmills operators, there's no good reason not to put the shine back on our Parks system.

A Plan for the Cornerstones of Alberta’s Economy

Even as Alberta’s economy diversifies, Albertans rely on the economic cornerstones of energy, agriculture, tourism and forestry for much of the province’s employment and economic stability.

A strong, thriving energy sector will continue to be a foundation of Alberta’s economy.

This year, government will make the necessary legislative and process changes to implement the new royalty framework, which comes into effect on January 1, 2009. This will fulfill your government’s commitment to ensure that Albertans receive a fair return for the development of the natural resources they own.

At the same time, the new framework recognizes the importance of Alberta’s hydrocarbon industry, both to the present and the future of our province. It will maintain Alberta’s position as an internationally competitive location for new investment and sustained development that will continue to provide thousands of jobs for Albertans and keep the economy strong. Alberta's hydocarbon industry is important to the future only in that, if royalties are properly invested today, it will help to fund it. As I've said before, hydrocarbons will full the same niche as 8-track tapes by the time I have grandchildren. "Oil? We used to use it for everything... now you can't GIVE it away." Diversify or die, Alberta.

Over the coming year, the energy regulatory system will be enhanced. Albertans can have confidence in this system. The new regulatory bodies that have been established will bring renewed focus to ensuring that Albertans affected by energy development are engaged and respected as part of the decision-making process. Is this putting lipstick on the pig? Or a 180 in progress?

Another economic cornerstone — agriculture — is as much a cultural foundation of Alberta as it is an economic one. Agriculture in Alberta has a long, rich and proud history. It is a sector upon which many of the great traditions of Alberta have been built.

Make no mistake: this government stands firm in its commitment to Alberta’s agriculture and food producers, and in its resolve to help them thrive in the face of global challenges. Our farmers and ranchers have successfully weathered some tough times in recent years, and emerged as hardy and resilient as the land on which they toil. The BSE crisis has receded, for now at least, and grain and oilseed prices are strong. But this sector faces new challenges with the increasing input costs and a high Canadian dollar.

Alberta will continue to work with agricultural producers to create long-term and industry-wide sustainability. Your government understands that industry is in the best position to develop its own vision and strategic initiatives, and will work directly with individual agriculture industries on a new competitiveness initiative. It will bring forward recommendations that will help transform the sector and promote long-term sustainability.

At the same time, Alberta will work to increase market access for all its agricultural products, both at home and abroad. On the world stage, this government will continue to advocate for an agreement in World Trade Organization negotiations to reduce harmful foreign subsidies, and increase access to key export markets. Within Canada, this government will continue to support the federal government in its plan for grain marketing reforms, including marketing choice for wheat and barley.

All points that will get the farmers to vote for Ed - like they weren't going to before. :)

Like agriculture, forestry is facing challenges. Through the Forest Industry Sustainability Committee, industry and government will explore opportunities to improve industry’s competitive position in world markets.

Alberta is also firmly committed to protecting the health of its forests. The government will remain vigilant in the battle against the mountain pine beetle. The focus in 2008-2009 will be protecting the watersheds of the foothills and preventing the front-line of the infestation from moving into the boreal forest.

I know a little about MPB - by NO means am I an expert. But the long and short of it is, we CAN'T beat the beetle. It's here, it's still coming, and we're screwed. Our pine forests WILL be decimated by this thing - it's doing exactly what it's supposed to, exactly what nature intended, and only our own ignorance has led to the current problem.

Had we let the forests burn when struck by lightning over the past hundred years, instead of putting out the fires to save property, then many parts of the forest would be too young today, having been regenerated by their fires, and the MPB would fly right on by, continuing a cycle that has run for HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS, IF NOT MILLIONS OF YEARS. The government needs to aggressively support efforts to plant a variety of trees, as many as the land can sustain. When the pines are gone - and they will be gone - something else is going to need to be there, to protect the watershed. Telling forestry to cut a 50 kilometre swath running north to south along our border with BC will make them a lot of money short term, but won't help against Pine Beetle a damned bit. Unless the sun goes out, and they (and we) freeze to death, we need another plan.

A Plan for Managing Public Dollars Wisely; A Plan for Health Care Premiums

It’s clear that the plan outlined here today relies heavily — and wisely — on the people of Alberta in order for success to be achieved. But there is one part of the plan that relies directly on government. That area is the wise, prudent management of public dollars.

Today, as North America’s only debt-free jurisdiction (not counting P3's), Alberta has a unique opportunity to secure long-term prosperity for its citizens — and your government pledges to make the very best of that opportunity.

It will introduce a new savings strategy with a revitalized Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund, and a renewed commitment to save for the future. It will continue to give Albertans the opportunity to keep as much of their own hard-earned income as possible.

Fundamental to this philosophy is the principle that all Albertans must benefit from the opportunities that Alberta creates, and enjoy, as much as possible, the fruits of their labour. To support that principle, the government will maintain Alberta’s competitive tax advantage.

In 2008, your government will go even further to achieve this principle. This year, it will introduce legislation to phase out Alberta Health Care insurance premiums for all Albertans.

This legislation will lay out a plan for the elimination of premiums within four years. This will be achieved in a measured and fiscally responsible manner.

If you announce another $5 Billion surplus before my health care premium has been eliminated - there's going to be some 'splainin' to do...

Premiums have served their purpose in Alberta over the years. But in today’s Alberta, the time is right for Albertans to reap additional direct rewards of their ingenuity and their hard work. The elimination of premiums is a reward whose time has come.

Damn straight, and I can't find a single Albertan who disagrees. So you've cut THAT leg of the Liberal platform right out from underneath them. Good policy, and good politics, in the same move. The "four years" is pushing it, though. Maybe "2 years" would be an easier sell.

Conclusion

Ladies and gentlemen, these are the highlights of your government’s plan for the coming year, and its vision for the future.

Besides these highlights, your government will move in many different areas over the next year to ensure that barriers to success are removed for all Albertans, and that the day-to-day work of government is conducted effectively and honourably.

What I personally wouldn't give for an official policy on "acceptable behaviour in the Legislative Chambers"... I'm almost embarassed to watch Question Period, thinking some day I'm going to be yelling at my kids to stop doing what their political leaders, grown adults, do every day, on my dime.

Today’s Alberta requires new ideas and new energy. The plan I have outlined is a bold response to the challenges brought about by growth. It is a clear set of answers to the issues Albertans want to see addressed. It is a roadmap to economic security and improved quality of life. It reverberates with the values and aspirations of Albertans from all walks of life.

It is a plan for the millions of Albertans who demonstrate their pride, energy and dignity every day across the width and breadth of our great province; a plan to enable young families to achieve their dreams; a plan for seniors who have dedicated lifetimes to Alberta; and a plan to build the prosperous and dynamic future all Albertans desire.

Together, we will build our legacy over the next decade and beyond. And we will continue to respect the values that this province has come to stand for over the last 103 years — values that excite the heart and spirit of each one of us who are lucky enough to be able to say: “Alberta is my home.”

God bless Alberta. God bless Canada. God save the Queen. Take THAT, atheists and monarchy abolitionists!

End of Speech... E.S. is now Back in Black.

Nation, as Speeches from the Throne go, this one is very good. By their nature, these speeches are supposed to be big on stated intention, and small on details - that's what budgets are for.

In the next 27 days, Team Stelmach is going to have to start providing details. "A Plan to Make a Plan" is what the detractors are saying about this speech, and in the absence of specific policy and platform announcements, it will be taken as the Tory platform in full.

There is much to like in this speech - many things that will improve the quality of life for a great many Albertans. Criticisms that I have strewn through the speech are offered as points of weakness that should be addressed to fully flesh out the programs and policies of the Tories ahead of polling day.

With respect to Ed, this election isn't just about "who we trust" - it's also about what you say you're going to do. The Liberals have committed to wholescale change, because they say the Tories have been so obviously screwed up for so long - still wondering what Taft thinks that makes US, the people who keep electing such "obvious screw-ups" time-and-again - and they have provided some detailed plans (although a detailed analysis of the COST would be nice, too). As the party with access to ALL of the numbers, I'd expect no less a detailed plan, and cost break-down, from the PC's.

All told, I like this speech more than the Alternative delivered by Kevin Taft last week. As the basis of an election platform there are deficiencies, though - and they need to be addresssed before you ask people to vote for you based on its contents. Also notable, is the fact that Taft's speech was delivered by the man himself - the Throne Speech was delivered by Norm Kwong, who is non-attackable for his delivery, or his partisanship - neither is an issue. After all, we didn't elect Norm to be a great speaker.

What's that?

Oh... never mind.

Progressive Conservatives, if you want our trust, and our consent to be governed - you have to earn both. This speech makes a great skeleton - now, show me some detailed plans. Give me some specific, measurable commitments. ANYTHING so that, in 4 years, *I* can look at your record and decide whether or not you kept your promises, rather than waiting for the predictable-as-sunrise "Promises Kept" press release on the eve of the next election.

Which should, by the way, be formally scheduled and announced as such at a press conference on March 4th, 2008. Add that to the platform... that suggestion is on the house. ;)

- E.S.

Monday, February 4, 2008

Bang A Gong, Let's Get It On!

Albertans are going to the polls on March 3rd, 2008 to elect the 27th Legislative Assembly for the province of Alberta.

The blogosphere will be seeing more back-and-forth than the Jerry Springer Show in that time.

The Enlightened Savage will endeavour to provide as much common-sense, non-partisan coverage as possible. What you read here isn't going to be the "approved message" of any one party or ideology, but rather one man's reaction to what is happening on the hustings, paying attention to all the parties and candidates, but especially those with a chance to find themselves with a government job come March 4th.

A littl caveat: Circumstances beyond my control have left me VERY much off my game for today, so expect the real coverage to begin for the citizens of E.S. Nation tomorrow, starting with an analysis of today's Speech from the Throne.

Hold on to your hats, kids... this is gunna be fun! ;-)