tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post7102877654544481171..comments2023-10-04T06:59:20.803-06:00Comments on The Enlightened Savage: Poll-Vault: The Next Leader of the Conservative Party of CanadaEnlightened Savagehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17872131888278838737noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-68466909487149869532009-04-09T21:21:00.000-06:002009-04-09T21:21:00.000-06:00If we break the numbers down by province (2004, 20...If we break the numbers down by province (2004, 2006, 2008, 2008 change):<BR/><BR/>NB: 31.1, 35.7, 39.4, +3.7<BR/>NS: 28.0, 29.7, 26.1, -3.6<BR/>PE: 30.7, 33.4, 36.2, +2.8<BR/>NL: 32.3, 42.7, 16.5, -26.2<BR/><BR/>The Conservatives saw slight increases in support in New Brunswick and PEI, a slight decrease in Nova Scotia, and a huge drop in Newfoundland. So yes, their overall drop in Atlantic Canada was entirely because of Danny Williams' ABC campaign.<BR/><BR/>Also, you're engaging of some serious moving of the goalposts. First you said they had an "implosion", now it's just that they didn't have a big gain?<BR/><BR/>And furthermore, your original post specifically talked about Mackay as a "lonely Tory voice", i.e. a lack of MPs, so introducing popular vote percentages into the debate is irrelevant.Another sourcenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-40460856964417684402009-04-08T13:19:00.000-06:002009-04-08T13:19:00.000-06:00Gustav: Wall is a capable Premier, but too raw for...Gustav: Wall is a capable Premier, but too raw for federal Conservatives to embrace. They're still scarred from the Stockwell Experiment.<BR/><BR/>Rick Hillier is probably too smart for federal politics - but is *definitely* smart enough to stay away from Michael Ignatieff. A smart soldier knows when NOT to take the field - and politics is Ignatieff's martial art.<BR/><BR/>Another Source: The seat results tell us one thing, however the popular vote in the 4 Atlantic provinces suggests something else entirely.<BR/><BR/>2004 - 30%<BR/>2006 - 34%<BR/>2008 - 29%<BR/><BR/>They're not in "free fall", but the CPC polled lower in 2008 than the Conservatives/PC's have in decades in Atlantic Canada. Dany's "ABC" campaign notwithstanding, with a weak Liberal leader the Tories should have scored much higher in Atlantic Canada after 2 years of MacKay as a senior cabinet minister.Enlightened Savagehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17872131888278838737noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-78608751140234101992009-04-08T00:02:00.000-06:002009-04-08T00:02:00.000-06:00"He was seen as Harper's heir apparent, however th..."He was seen as Harper's heir apparent, however the party's implosion in Atlantic Canada has left him a lonely Tory voice in a sea of red."<BR/><BR/>I'm sorry, what meltdown are you talking about?<BR/><BR/>2004 - 7 seats<BR/>2006 - 9 seats<BR/>2008 - 10 seatsAnother sourcenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-35372226758591939322009-04-06T14:43:00.000-06:002009-04-06T14:43:00.000-06:00I would bet a dollar Harper remains the leader.I would bet a dollar Harper remains the leader.CShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13965306115870524153noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-55273538601082688152009-04-06T12:24:00.000-06:002009-04-06T12:24:00.000-06:00ES...Nice breakdown. I like the oddsmaking angle....ES...Nice breakdown. I like the oddsmaking angle... are you taking bets soon?Calgary Rantshttp://www.calgaryrants.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6929537540404873123.post-27261127085916022122009-04-06T11:11:00.000-06:002009-04-06T11:11:00.000-06:00What's your thoughts on Brad Wall?Rick Hillier mak...What's your thoughts on Brad Wall?<BR/><BR/>Rick Hillier make the list, or is he smart enough to stay awake from federal politics?Gustavnoreply@blogger.com